Oscar Predictions 1/6/10

Updates 1/6/10: Okayyyyy, Jacki Weaver is definitely NOT a lock, despite whatever I may have said before. What the hell. I mean, technically she's supposed to win the damn thing but now she may not even be nominated. It's now very possible that Hailee Steinfeld of True Grit or Mila Kunis of Black Swan may take her spot. These three are definitely all wrangling for the last two spots.

Meanwhile in the Best Supporting Actor category, Andrew Garfield, John Hawkes, and Jeremy Renner are duking it out for the last two coveted spots. Love me Renner but I want Hawkes and Garfield. Pleaseee?

For Best Actor, it's a ring of four actors circling the drain. Bridges, Duvall, Bardem, Gosling. My guess is that it won't be Bardem. The Best Actress, a truly awesome lineup, seems solid so far after that Hilary Swank misstep for the SAG awards. Michelle Williams seems good to go and she's doesn't really have any competition other than Lesley Manville but alas, the latter's buzz is practically dead.

To recap - stars* are locks:

Best Actor:

Colin Firth - The King's Speech*

James Franco - 127 Hours*

Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network*

Jeff Bridges - True Grit

Robert Duvall - Get Low

Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine

Javier Bardem - Biutiful

Best Actress:

Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right*

Natalie Portman - Black Swan*

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole*

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone*

Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine.........(just checking.....ok)*

Best Supporting Actor:

Christian Bale - The Fighter*

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech*

Mark Ruffalo - The Kids Are All Right*

Andrew Garfield - The Social Network

Jeremy Renner - The Town

John Hawkes - Winter's Bone

Best Supporting Actress:

Amy Adams - The Fighter*

Melissa Leo - The Fighter*

Helena Bonham-Carter - The King's Speech*

Mila Kunis - Black Swan

Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom